Saros 15

Panorama of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

Fred Espenak

Introduction

A solar eclipse occurs whenever the Moon's shadow passes across Earth's surface. At least two solar eclipses and as many as five occur every year.

The periodicity and recurrence of solar eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and the same time of year due to a harmonic in three cycles of the Moon's orbit. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 13 centuries and contains 70 or more eclipses. Every saros series begins with a number of partial eclipses near one of Earth's polar regions. The series will then produce several dozen central eclipses before ending with a group of partial eclipses near the opposite pole. For more information, see Periodicity of Solar Eclipses.

Panorama of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

A panorama of all solar eclipses belonging to Saros 15 is presented here. Each map depicts the geographic region of visibility for a single eclipse. For central eclipses, the total or annular path is plotted in either blue (total) or red (annular). The date and time is given for the instant of Greatest Eclipse. Every map serves as a hyperlink to the EclipseWise Prime page for that eclipse where a larger map and complete details for the eclipse can be found. Visit the Key to Solar Eclipse Maps for a detailed explanation of these maps. Near the bottom of the page are a series of hyperlinks for more on solar eclipses.

The exeligmos is a period of three Saros cycles and is equal to approximately 54 years 33 days. Because it is nearly an integral number of days in length, two eclipses separated by 1 exeligmos (= 3 Saroses) not only share all the characterists of a Saros, but also take place in approximately the same geographic location.

The Saros panorama below is arranged in horizontal rows of 3 eclipses. So one eclipse to the left or right is a difference of 1 Saros cycle, and one eclipse above or below is a difference of 1 exeligmos. By scanning a column of the table, it reveals how the geographic visibility of eclipses separated by an exeligmos slowly changes.

  • Click on any global map to go directly to the EclipseWise Prime Page for more information, tables, diagrams and maps. Key to Solar Eclipse Maps explains the features in these maps.
  • Beneath each global eclipse map is a link Google Eclipse Map, that takes you to an interactive Google Map with the eclipse path plotted.

For more information on this series see Statistics for Solar Eclipses of Saros 15 .

Panorama of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2557 Jul 01

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2539 Jul 11

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2521 Jul 22

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2503 Aug 02

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2485 Aug 13

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2467 Aug 23

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2449 Sep 04

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2431 Sep 14

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2413 Sep 26

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2395 Oct 06

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2377 Oct 17

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2359 Oct 28

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2341 Nov 08

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2323 Nov 18

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2305 Nov 30

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2287 Dec 10

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2269 Dec 21

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2250 Jan 01

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2232 Jan 12

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2214 Jan 23

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2196 Feb 03

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2178 Feb 13

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2160 Feb 25

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-2142 Mar 07

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2124 Mar 17

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2106 Mar 28

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2088 Apr 08

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2070 Apr 19

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2052 Apr 29

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2034 May 11

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-2016 May 21

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-1998 Jun 01

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-1980 Jun 12

Google Eclipse Map
Total Solar Eclipse
-1962 Jun 23

Google Eclipse Map
Hybrid Solar Eclipse
-1944 Jul 03

Google Eclipse Map
Hybrid Solar Eclipse
-1926 Jul 14

Google Eclipse Map
Hybrid Solar Eclipse
-1908 Jul 25

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1890 Aug 05

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1872 Aug 15

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1854 Aug 27

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1836 Sep 06

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1818 Sep 17

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1800 Sep 28

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1782 Oct 09

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1764 Oct 19

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1746 Oct 31

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1728 Nov 10

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1710 Nov 21

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1692 Dec 02

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1674 Dec 13

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1656 Dec 23

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1637 Jan 04

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1619 Jan 14

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1601 Jan 25

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1583 Feb 05

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1565 Feb 16

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1547 Feb 26

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1529 Mar 10

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1511 Mar 20

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1493 Mar 31

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1475 Apr 10

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1457 Apr 22

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1439 May 02

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1421 May 13

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1403 May 24

Google Eclipse Map
Annular Solar Eclipse
-1385 Jun 04

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1367 Jun 14

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1349 Jun 25

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1331 Jul 06

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1313 Jul 17

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1295 Jul 27

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1277 Aug 07

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1259 Aug 18

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1241 Aug 29

Google Eclipse Map
Partial Solar Eclipse
-1223 Sep 08

Google Eclipse Map

Statistics for Solar Eclipses of Saros 15

Solar eclipses of Saros 15 all occur at the Moon’s ascending node and the Moon moves southward with each eclipse. The series began with a partial eclipse in the northern hemisphere on -2557 Jul 01. The series ended with a partial eclipse in the southern hemisphere on -1223 Sep 08. The total duration of Saros series 15 is 1334.23 years.

Summary of Saros 15
First Eclipse -2557 Jul 01
Last Eclipse -1223 Sep 08
Series Duration 1334.23 Years
No. of Eclipses 75
Sequence 24P 10T 3H 29A 9P

Saros 15 is composed of 75 solar eclipses as follows:

Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Eclipse Type Symbol Number Percent
All Eclipses - 75100.0%
PartialP 33 44.0%
AnnularA 29 38.7%
TotalT 10 13.3%
HybridH 3 4.0%

Umbral eclipses (annular, total and hybrid) can be further classified as either: 1) Central (two limits), 2) Central (one limit) or 3) Non-Central (one limit). The statistical distribution of these classes in Saros series 15 appears in the following table.

Umbral Eclipses of Saros 15
Classification Number Percent
All Umbral Eclipses 42100.0%
Central (two limits) 40 95.2%
Central (one limit) 2 4.8%
Non-Central (one limit) 0 0.0%

The 75 eclipses in Saros 15 occur in the following order : 24P 10T 3H 29A 9P

The longest and shortest central eclipses of Saros 15 as well as largest and smallest partial eclipses appear below.

Extreme Durations and Magnitudes of Solar Eclipses of Saros 15
Extrema Type Date Duration Magnitude
Longest Annular Solar Eclipse -1656 Dec 2307m06s -
Shortest Annular Solar Eclipse -1890 Aug 0500m30s -
Longest Total Solar Eclipse -2070 Apr 1902m37s -
Shortest Total Solar Eclipse -1962 Jun 2301m40s -
Longest Hybrid Solar Eclipse -1944 Jul 0301m16s -
Shortest Hybrid Solar Eclipse -1908 Jul 2500m10s -
Largest Partial Solar Eclipse -2142 Mar 07 - 0.91781
Smallest Partial Solar Eclipse -2557 Jul 01 - 0.00900

Eclipse Publications

by Fred Espenak

jpeg jpeg
jpeg jpeg
jpeg jpeg

Calendar

The Gregorian calendar (also called the Western calendar) is internationally the most widely used civil calendar. It is named for Pope Gregory XIII, who introduced it in 1582. On this website, the Gregorian calendar is used for all calendar dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates.

The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..

Eclipse Predictions

The eclipse predictions presented here were generated using the JPL DE406 solar and lunar ephemerides. The lunar coordinates have been calculated with respect to the Moon's Center of Mass.

The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:

  1. pre-1950's: ΔT calculated from empirical fits to historical records derived by Morrison and Stephenson (2004)
  2. 1955-present: ΔT obtained from published observations
  3. future: ΔT is extrapolated from current values weighted by the long term trend from tidal effects

A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -2999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.

Acknowledgments

Some of the content on this web site is based on the books Five Millennium Canon of Solar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Thousand Year Canon of Solar Eclipses 1501 to 2500. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy.

Permission is granted to reproduce eclipse data when accompanied by a link to this page and an acknowledgment:

"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak, www.EclipseWise.com"

The use of diagrams and maps is permitted provided that they are NOT altered (except for re-sizing) and the embedded credit line is NOT removed or covered.